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Motorcycles > Motorcycles in Australia > Logic in action
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Logic in action

by Peter Cremasco <FirsName.LastName@[EMAIL PROTECTED] > Jul 19, 2008 at 08:04 PM

Height Kills

By Andrew Bent

The traffic engineer was quite pleased with himself, he had finally 
managed to stop the local bus drivers trying to take their double 
deckers under the low bridge under the railway, so Councillor Prescott 
might finally concede that he knew what he was doing. But as he entered 
Prescott's office he saw that the councillor was in an ominously 
thoughtful mood.
'I see we've had a reduction in accidents in Railway Terrace' said Mr 
Prescott, 'Yes' said the engineer, anxious to demonstrate his success, 
'You see I did a survey and found that the maximum safe height under the 
bridge was 12'2", so I arranged for some warning signs to stop anyone 
taking a vehicle more than 12' high...'
But the Councillor had already lost interest. 'I've been studying some 
statistics' said the Councillor (the engineer winced, Councillor 
Prescott's grasp of mathematics was notoriously shaky) 'and it seems 
that when those new warning signs went up the average height of vehicles 
using Railway Terrace fell by 9 inches', 'Well, yes..' replied the 
engineer, 'and accidents dropped by 18%' continued the Councillor 
triumphantly'. The traffic engineer tried to figure out where this was 
leading, 'Do you realise what this means? Every inch of average height 
reduction leads to a 2% reduction in accidents! All we have to do is 
alter the warning signs to read 11' and accidents will drop by another
24%!'

His head spinning, the traffic engineer tried to reason with the 
Councillor, 'but if a 12 foot vehicle can get through perfectly safely, 
what is the point in imposing extra restrictions?' Councillor Prescott 
was having none of this, 'you don't seem to understand, Height Kills, if 
every inch of height reduction causes a 2% drop in accidents, surely we 
must have a height limit reduction program, let's speak to the bus 
company and see if they can lower the single deckers somehow.'

The traffic engineer thought quickly, there was no point in trying to 
explain the facts, Councillor Prescott always regarded knowledge of road 
traffic and accident causation a fatal disqualification for making 
decisions on the subject, but there was a possible way to turn the 
situation to advantage. 'There is another low bridge, under the disused 
railway in Beeching Close, where lorries do sometimes get stuck, but I 
haven't had the funds to tackle the problem before, I suggest that 
should be the first priority for the height reduction program'. 
Councillor Prescott agreed and the traffic engineer set off for Beeching 
Close with measuring rod in hand.

At first it wasn't clear why there was a problem at this particular 
bridge, there was already a height restriction of 7 feet, so why on 
earth were drivers ignoring it? After an examination of the bridge the 
reason became clear, the maximum safe height was over 14 feet. On 
receiving a recommendation that the 7 foot height limit was unrealistic 
and should be raised, Councillor Prescott was apoplectic, 'lorries are 
getting stuck because they are too high' he yelled, 'surely the limit 
needs to be lowered'. The engineer tried to point out that it was 
precisely because the limit was obviously ludicrous that it was being 
ignored, and that raising the limit would increase compliance, but the 
Councillor did not understand. 'In Railway Terrace, reducing the height 
reduced accidents, therefore Height Kills' he argued, 'surely raising 
the limit in Beeching Close will increase average heights, therefore 
increase accidents,' 'But it isn't the average height that matters' the 
engineer tried to point out, 'a 14 foot limit will be taken seriously 
and will reduce instances of excessive height, therefore reduce 
accidents, whether the average goes up or down is totally beside the 
point'. 'But Height Kills' bellowed the Councillor, 'no it doesn't' the 
engineer bellowed back, of course he should have said 'not necessarily' 
but this is not an easy thing to bellow.

'How can you say height didn't cause this?' Councillor Prescott produced 
a press photo of the mangled remains of a double decker wedged under the 
Railway Terrace bridge and dropped it on the desk with the air of one 
producing the ace of trumps. 'The point was that the height was 
excessive for the situation, it is excessive height that causes the 
problem, not height itself' the engineer protested, but the Councillor 
wasn't listening, 'I've already decided to introduce a height reduction 
program, reducing all existing height limits by a foot, if this succeeds 
in reducing heights, I'll introduce a host of new height limits, if it 
doesn't I'll reduce the limits further until it does....'

The engineer stopped listening; once Councillor Prescott had made up his 
mind, there was no point in giving him the facts.
__________________
find it at the Motorcycle Network www.mcnetwork.com.au
 




 12 Posts in Topic:
Logic in action
Peter Cremasco <FirsNa  2008-07-19 20:04:42 
Re: Logic in action
"Biggus :)~" &l  2008-07-19 22:10:16 
Re: Logic in action
"Nev.." <idi  2008-07-19 22:11:47 
Re: Logic in action
"Biggus :)~" &l  2008-07-19 22:48:34 
Re: Logic in action
"Peter" <som  2008-07-20 07:30:20 
Re: Logic in action
BT Humble <bt_humble@[  2008-07-19 22:30:31 
Re: Logic in action
Peter Cremasco <FirsNa  2008-07-20 22:10:53 
Re: Logic in action
Alix <dontbotherreplyi  2008-07-21 21:02:22 
Re: Logic in action
Goaty <JohnLamp@[EMAIL  2008-07-26 15:26:10 
Re: Logic in action
Goaty <JohnLamp@[EMAIL  2008-07-26 15:42:54 
Re: Logic in action
BT Humble <bt_humble@[  2008-07-23 16:14:38 
Re: Logic in action
Marty H <hytram@[EMAIL  2008-07-23 20:40:23 

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tan12V112 Wed Aug 20 15:10:48 CDT 2008.